DEFINITION OF ‘BLACK SWAN’ — An event or occurrence that deviates beyond what is normally expected of a situation and that would be extremely difficult to predict.
“Become comfortable with uncertainty.”
Brasscheck TV (10/22/14)Michael Osterholm’s speech on how much we don’t know about Ebola is riveting.
Director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota, he lays out the truth of the matter: the Ebola virus is still an unknown, and we don’t even know what we don’t know yet.
He believes that to mislead the public by trying to not scare us is a terrible idea, and it’s better for health officials to admit that they’re wrong or don’t have answers yet.
He also believes limited airborne transmission may be possible, that this strain of the Ebola virus may be very different than past outbreaks.
The virus is moving at virus speed, and our response is moving at the speed of bureaucracy.
We barely have a plan A, we don’t have a plan B.
We desperately need a plan C. He says it’s vaccine…and that’s where he loses me.
- New York City Physician Tests Positive For Ebola — A New York physician who recently returned from the front lines of the Ebola epidemic in West Africa has tested positive for the deadly virus, according to two U.S. government officials … Read the Rest